Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 2.094741e-05 0.000025 0.000030 0.000035 0.000040 0.000047 0.000054
2025-10-12 1.562411e-05 0.000021 0.000027 0.000034 0.000043 0.000053 0.000065
2025-10-19 1.235465e-05 0.000018 0.000025 0.000034 0.000046 0.000059 0.000076
2025-10-26 1.066434e-05 0.000017 0.000025 0.000036 0.000050 0.000067 0.000090
2025-11-02 8.666923e-06 0.000015 0.000024 0.000036 0.000052 0.000072 0.000099
2025-11-09 6.672580e-06 0.000013 0.000021 0.000034 0.000051 0.000074 0.000104
2025-11-16 5.286423e-06 0.000011 0.000020 0.000033 0.000052 0.000077 0.000111
2025-11-23 4.374018e-06 0.000010 0.000019 0.000033 0.000053 0.000081 0.000119
2025-11-30 3.594826e-06 0.000009 0.000018 0.000032 0.000054 0.000084 0.000126
2025-12-07 2.831212e-06 0.000008 0.000016 0.000031 0.000054 0.000086 0.000132
2025-12-14 2.144235e-06 0.000007 0.000015 0.000030 0.000053 0.000087 0.000136
2025-12-21 1.635286e-06 0.000006 0.000014 0.000029 0.000053 0.000088 0.000140
2025-12-28 1.268109e-06 0.000005 0.000013 0.000029 0.000054 0.000092 0.000150
2026-01-04 9.432822e-07 0.000004 0.000012 0.000028 0.000055 0.000096 0.000159
2026-01-11 7.207548e-07 0.000004 0.000012 0.000028 0.000057 0.000101 0.000170
2026-01-18 6.270071e-07 0.000004 0.000012 0.000030 0.000061 0.000110 0.000186
2026-01-25 4.581952e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000029 0.000062 0.000114 0.000196
2026-02-01 2.837685e-07 0.000003 0.000010 0.000028 0.000061 0.000115 0.000201
2026-02-08 1.791966e-07 0.000002 0.000009 0.000027 0.000061 0.000117 0.000207
2026-02-15 1.210051e-07 0.000002 0.000009 0.000027 0.000062 0.000121 0.000217
2026-02-22 7.701463e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000027 0.000063 0.000125 0.000226
2026-03-01 4.080799e-08 0.000001 0.000008 0.000026 0.000063 0.000126 0.000233
2026-03-08 1.704594e-08 0.000001 0.000007 0.000024 0.000062 0.000126 0.000236